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Is The Worst Over? Experts Weigh In | MATIC News
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Bitcoin has experienced a sharp decline from its March 14 high of over $73,600 to today’s low of under $60,800, translating to a -17% loss in value. This significant drop has prompted a flurry of activity on social media platforms, particularly X (formerly Twitter), where crypto experts have been fervently discussing the potential reasons behind this downturn and speculating on what the future holds for the world’s leading cryptocurrency.
Unpacking The Bitcoin Crash: Expert Opinions
Alex Krüger, a respected figure in both macroeconomics and crypto, was quick to identify the primary factors contributing to Bitcoin’s price collapse. According to Krüger, the crash can be attributed to several key factors: excessive leverage in the market, Ethereum’s negative influence on overall market sentiment due to ETF speculations, a notable decrease in Bitcoin ETF inflows, and the irrational exuberance surrounding Solana memecoins, which he refers to disparagingly as “shitcoin mania.”
Reasons for the crash, in order of importance
(for those who need them)
#1 Too much leverage (funding matters)
#2 ETH driving market south (market decided ETF not passing)
#3 Negative BTC ETF inflows (careful, data is T+1)
#4 Solana shitcoin mania (it went too far)— Alex Krüger (@krugermacro) March 20, 2024
WhalePanda, another influential voice within the crypto space, pointed out the alarming rate of ETF outflows, with a record $326 million leaving the market yesterday. This movement has been particularly detrimental to GBTC, which saw outflows of $443.5 million.
In contrast, Blackrock’s inflows stood at a mere $75.2 million, marking its second lowest to date. Also, Fidelity saw just $39.6 million in inflows. “Not much to say, this is bad for the price and we’ll probably see lower now because this news affects the sentiment as well. Let’s see what the flows are tomorrow. Positive thing is that we’re roughly 30 days from halving, and GBTC is getting rekt,” he remarked.
Yesterdays ETF flows by @FarsideUK.
We had $326 million in outflows. Biggest outflow to date.
Blackrock didn’t save us from $GBTC, which kind of was obvious with the price action.$GBTC had $443.5 million outflows, Blackrock had $75.2 million inflows, their 2nd lowest to… pic.twitter.com/hIingoYMly
— WhalePanda (@WhalePanda) March 20, 2024
Charles Edwards, founder of crypto hedge fund Capriole Investments, provided a historical perspective on Bitcoin’s recent price move, suggesting that a 20% to 30% pullback is within the norm for Bitcoin bull runs.
“A normal Bitcoin bullrun pullback is 30%. Back in December, we were already in the longest winning streak in Bitcoin’s history. A 20% pullback here takes us to $59K. A 30% pullback would be $51K. These are all levels we should be comfortable expecting as possibilities,” he stated.
Rekt Capital provided an analysis of Bitcoin’s price retracements since the 2022 bear market bottom, noting that the current pullback is only the fifth major retrace, with all previous ones exceeding a -20% depth and lasting from 14 to 63 days. In sum, there are two key takeaways about this current retracement
The closer Bitcoin gets to a -20% retrace, the better the opportunity becomes.
Retraces need time to fully mature (at least 2-3 weeks, at most 2-months).
Since the November 2022 Bear Market Bottom…
Bitcoin has experienced the following retraces:
• -23% (February 2023) lasting 21 days
• -21% (April/May 2023) lasting 63 days
• -22% (July/September 2023) lasting 63 days
• -21% (January 2023) lasting 14 days
This… pic.twitter.com/cQyQOLA5Zv
— Rekt Capital (@rektcapital) March 19, 2024
Alex Thorn, head of research at crypto giant Galaxy Digital had previously warned of the likelihood of significant corrections during bull markets, suggesting that the current retrace is relatively standard. “Two weeks ago i warned that big corrections aren’t just possible but *likely* in Bitcoin bull markets. At -15%, this is pretty standard historically. Bull markets climb a wall of worry.”
Macro analyst Ted (@tedtalksmacro) focused specifically on the implications of the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. He highlighted the massive outflows from spot BTC ETFs, attributing them to traders’ cautious stance ahead of the FOMC decision and the potential impact of tax season in the US.
However, following the drop to $60,800, Ted suggested that the market might have fully priced in the worst-case scenario, hinting at a potential bullish reversal if the FOMC’s decisions align with market expectations for interest rate cuts by the end of the year. He stated:
Time to bid. FOMC hedging done, worst case priced. Only thing that happens from here is that those protective positions unwind into or on the event today. Bulls should step up here soon. […] The market has fully priced in another hold from the Fed at today’s meeting, and is pricing 3 rate cuts from them by the end of the year. Anything that strays away from this from today’s new economic projection / dot plot material will make the market move sharply.
At press time, BTC traded at $62,979.
Featured image created with DALL·E, chart from TradingView.com
Disclaimer: The article is provided for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.
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Expert Predicts When Bitcoin Price Will Reach Its Cycle Highs | MATIC News
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Crypto analyst Rekt Capital has provided insights into when the price of Bitcoin will reach its cycle highs. His analysis has provided reassurance that the flagship crypto is still far from a market top despite its recent decline to new lows this week.
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When Will Bitcoin Peak In This Bull Run
Rekt Capital mentioned in an X (formerly Twitter) post that Bitcoin could peak in this cycle sometime in mid-September or mid-October 2025 if history were to repeat itself. The analyst noted that Bitcoin peaked 518 days after the halving event during the 2017 bull run and 546 days after the halving event during the 2021 bull run.
Based on this, the analyst predicts that Bitcoin’s market top in this bull could occur between 518 and 546 days after the halving event, which happened earlier in April. This timeline puts the projected peak for Bitcoin sometime in September or October next year. Meanwhile, Rekt Capital again alluded to the fact that Bitcoin was accelerating in this cycle by 260 days earlier this year.
However, that is no longer the case thanks to the over three-month consolidation period the flagship crypto has experienced since the halving event. Rekt Capital claimed that the rate of acceleration has “drastically dropped and is now approximately 150 days.” He added that Bitcoin will likely resynchronize with the traditional halving cycle the longer it consolidates.
The crypto analyst has also refused to be deterred by Bitcoin’s current price action, which some claim suggests that the bull run is over. However, Rekt Capital has repeatedly stated that Bitcoin will retrace deep enough to convince anyone that the bull run is over, and then it will continue its uptrend.
In another X post, Rekt Capital mentioned that Bitcoin’s downtrend, which began last month, is one to watch for a major trend shift. The analyst remarked that a break of the “multi-week downtrend would result in the beginning of at least a multi-week uptrend” for the flagship crypto.
Bitcoin is now trading at $56,693. Chart: TradingView
‘This Is Not The Cycle Top Vibes’
Crypto analyst Mikybull Crypto also believes that the cycle top isn’t in yet despite Bitcoin’s recent decline, stating that this price action “is not the cycle top vibes.” The analyst also said that Bitcoin’s current sell-off bottom might be closer than everyone thinks and noted that this scenario played out in the third quarter of 2023 when most people thought it was over.
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The analyst previously mentioned that the cycle top isn’t in yet and simply classified this market downtrend as the “final shakeout” before Bitcoin reaches its peak in this bull run. Mikybull Crypto also claimed that Bitcoin has a cycle top price target of $171,000, meaning that the flagship crypto will still hit new all-time highs (ATHs) before the bull run was considered as being over.
Featured image from Getty Images, chart from TradingView
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Chainlink Loses 10%, Further Drop To $6.80 Feared | MATIC News
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The cryptocurrency market continues its summer swoon, with major coins like Bitcoin tumbling to four-month lows. Chainlink (LINK), a key player in the decentralized oracle network space, has been especially hard-hit, dropping 25% since the beginning of June. But is this a buying opportunity, or the precipice of a steeper decline?
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This Chart Pattern Looms Large
Technical analysts are scrutinizing Chainlink’s chart, with a particular focus on the dreaded “Head and Shoulders” pattern. This formation, characterized by a central peak flanked by two smaller ones, often signals a trend reversal from bullish to bearish. Analyst Ali Martinez believes a breach of the neckline, the support level currently hovering around $12.70, could trigger a significant downturn.
#Chainlink $LINK faces a potential 45% price correction if it falls below $12.70! pic.twitter.com/8NGwMzEIhR
— Ali (@ali_charts) July 4, 2024
If LINK falls below $12.70, we could see a cascading sell-off, warns Martinez. This could push the price down to $6.80, a staggering 45% drop. Fibonacci retracement levels, a technical tool used to identify potential support and resistance zones, further bolster this bearish outlook. The 0.786 Fibonacci level aligns perfectly with Martinez’s target of $6.80, lending credence to his prediction.
Bearish Sentiment Grips The Market
Adding fuel to the fire is the overall bearish sentiment gripping the crypto market. The Fear and Greed Index, a measure of investor sentiment, currently sits at a chilling 26, firmly in “Fear” territory. This fear is reflected in LINK’s trading activity. The price is struggling to stay above the critical $12.70 mark, and any decisive break below could accelerate the sell-off.
A Glimmer Of Hope: Oversold Territory And Price Prediction
However, a glimmer of hope remains. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), another technical indicator, suggests LINK might be oversold. The RSI is currently at 28, dipping into “oversold” territory. This could signal a potential short-term bounce, as oversold assets often experience temporary price corrections.
Interestingly, some analysts contradict the prevailing bearish sentiment. Price for LINK is seen increasing 52.73% by August 5th, pushing the price to a healthy $18.97. While technical analysis paints a bleak picture, this prediction offers a counterpoint, highlighting the inherent uncertainty within the crypto market.
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The Road Ahead For LINK
Ultimately, the future of Chainlink remains shrouded in uncertainty. Technical indicators scream caution, while some analysts maintain a bullish outlook. The coming weeks will be crucial for Chainlink. Will it defy the bearish whispers and stage a comeback, or succumb to the gravitational pull of a deeper correction?
Featured image from Coldkeepers, chart from TradingView
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Justin Sun Potential $66 Million Loss Revealed As Ethereum Price Declines | MATIC News
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Semilore Faleti is a cryptocurrency writer specialized in the field of journalism and content creation. While he started out writing on several subjects, Semilore soon found a knack for cracking down on the complexities and intricacies in the intriguing world of blockchains and cryptocurrency.
Semilore is drawn to the efficiency of digital assets in terms of storing, and transferring value. He is a staunch advocate for the adoption of cryptocurrency as he believes it can improve the digitalization and transparency of the existing financial systems.
In two years of active crypto writing, Semilore has covered multiple aspects of the digital asset space including blockchains, decentralized finance (DeFi), staking, non-fungible tokens (NFT), regulations and network upgrades among others.
In his early years, Semilore honed his skills as a content writer, curating educational articles that catered to a wide audience. His pieces were particularly valuable for individuals new to the crypto space, offering insightful explanations that demystified the world of digital currencies.
Semilore also curated pieces for veteran crypto users ensuring they were up to date with the latest blockchains, decentralized applications and network updates. This foundation in educational writing has continued to inform his work, ensuring that his current work remains accessible, accurate and informative.
Currently at NewsBTC, Semilore is dedicated to reporting the latest news on cryptocurrency price action, on-chain developments and whale activity. He also covers the latest token analysis and price predictions by top market experts thus providing readers with potentially insightful and actionable information.
Through his meticulous research and engaging writing style, Semilore strives to establish himself as a trusted source in the crypto journalism field to inform and educate his audience on the latest trends and developments in the rapidly evolving world of digital assets.
Outside his work, Semilore possesses other passions like all individuals. He is a big music fan with an interest in almost every genre. He can be described as a “music nomad” always ready to listen to new artists and explore new trends.
Semilore Faleti is also a strong advocate for social justice, preaching fairness, inclusivity, and equity. He actively promotes the engagement of issues centred around systemic inequalities and all forms of discrimination.
He also promotes political participation by all persons at all levels. He believes active contribution to governmental systems and policies is the fastest and most effective way to bring about permanent positive change in any society.
In conclusion, Semilore Faleti exemplifies the convergence of expertise, passion, and advocacy in the world of crypto journalism. He is a rare individual whose work in documenting the evolution of cryptocurrency will remain relevant for years to come.
His dedication to demystifying digital assets and advocating for their adoption, combined with his commitment to social justice and political engagement, positions him as a dynamic and influential voice in the industry.
Whether through his meticulous reporting at NewsBTC or his fervent promotion of fairness and equity, Semilore continues to inform, educate, and inspire his audience, striving for a more transparent and inclusive financial future.
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